It has always been my position that Ron Paul should try to get the GOP nomination and, failing that, run as an independent. The only practical way to run as an independent is through the Libertarian Party due to ballot access obstacles created by the power elite.
(I assume here that sore loser laws don’t apply or could be challenged in court.)
My reasoning is simple. America is in dire straights and electing Mitt Obama will make things worse. They are in agreement on virtually every major issue that has caused our decline. Romney has no chance to beat Obama anyway, so in my view Ron Paul running as the LP candidate at least keeps hope alive.
I do believe that Ron can win as an independent though it would be very diffcult. There is no scientific way to prove me wrong regardless of how confident you might be that I’m wrong. (Would you bet your left arm that I’m wrong? No. You wouldn’t!) Every historical moment is unique so past history simply does not apply.
It is virtually impossible at this point for Ron to win the GOP nomination, however, he should continue in that attempt and accept the LP nomination on May 5th. (If there is a legal issue here, let me know.) Walter Block has expatiated on that point with his usual acumen.
To the extent that the Ron Paul campaign is in it to win it, he must run 3rd party to keep that goal viable. To the extent his campaign seeks to educate the public and expand the Liberty Movement, again he must stay in the race to advance those goals.
My sources tell me that Ron can have the LP nomination for the asking.